GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/15/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maitland are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Edgeworth EaglesLWWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandEdgeworth Eagles
60.3Attack63.5
50.8Defence54.0
61.9Form61.9
60.0Power62.1
1.82xG1.76
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