GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/18/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maitland are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Edgeworth EaglesLLWWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MaitlandEdgeworth Eagles
60.3Attack63.5
50.8Defence54.0
61.9Form61.9
60.0Power62.1
1.82xG1.76
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