GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/29/2023, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Maitland are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cooks Hill United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandWDDLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cooks Hill UnitedWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandCooks Hill United
60.3Attack61.9
50.8Defence46.0
61.9Form47.6
60.0Power51.1
2.21xG1.66
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