GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/29/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Maitland are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

80.9%

Model confidence

80.9%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandLWLDW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Charlestown City BluesWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandCharlestown City Blues
60.3Attack39.7
50.8Defence14.3
61.9Form22.2
60.0Power28.4
3.75xG1.00
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