GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/13/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Maitland are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandLWWLW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Belmont SwanseaLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandBelmont Swansea
60.3Attack71.4
50.8Defence34.9
61.9Form55.6
60.0Power55.7
2.63xG1.95
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