Maitlandvs
Adamstown Rosebuds
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/13/2023, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Maitland are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20