GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/31/2025, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Maitland are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

66.0%

Model confidence

66.0%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
MaitlandAdamstown Rosebuds
60.3Attack49.2
50.8Defence31.7
61.9Form33.3
60.0Power40.1
2.89xG1.28
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