GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/23/2024, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Maitland are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

66.0%

Model confidence

66.0%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MaitlandAdamstown Rosebuds
60.3Attack49.2
50.8Defence31.7
61.9Form33.3
60.0Power40.1
2.89xG1.28
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