Mainz 05 Wvs
VfL Wolfsburg W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/18/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Wolfsburg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mainz 05 W 0-5 VfL Wolfsburg W
Original prediction
VfL Wolfsburg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20.73 | 4.4% | 10.9% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 11.33 | 8.0% | 13.7% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.04 | 87.6% | 75.4% | -12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
VfL Wolfsburg W
Probability
75.4%
Model confidence
75.4%
VfL Wolfsburg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80