Mainz 05 Wvs
FC Koln W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Koln W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mainz 05 W 0-4 FC Koln W
Original prediction
FC Koln W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.10 | 14.9% | 28.7% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.2% | 25.8% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 63.9% | 45.5% | -18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Koln W
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
FC Koln W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60