Maidstone Utdvs
Maidenhead
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maidstone Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maidstone Utd 2-1 Maidenhead
Original prediction
Maidstone Utd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.0% | 52.8% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 24.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.8% | 22.3% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Maidstone Utd
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Maidstone Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00