Maidstone Utdvs
Ebbsfleet United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maidstone Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maidstone Utd 1-3 Ebbsfleet United
Original prediction
Maidstone Utd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.9% | 39.1% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 29.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 39.5% | 31.8% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Maidstone Utd
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Maidstone Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60