Maidenheadvs
Torquay
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maidenhead · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Maidenhead 0-0 Torquay, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Maidenhead 0-4 Torquay
Original prediction
Maidenhead
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.6% | 40.1% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 30.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 39.1% | 29.5% | -9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Projected Score
Maidenhead 0–0 Torquay
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Maidenhead
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Maidenhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MaidenheadWDLDW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TorquayWLDLD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MaidenheadTorquay
28.6Attack33.3
76.2Defence57.1
42.9Form42.9
50.4Power47.4
1.00xG0.69