Maidenheadvs
Tonbridge Angels
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tonbridge Angels · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maidenhead 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Original prediction
Tonbridge Angels
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.1% | 34.2% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 29.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.3% | 36.2% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Tonbridge Angels
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Tonbridge Angels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20