GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maidenhead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maidenhead are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while AFC Fylde are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.4 against 45.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the National League, while Maidenhead holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maidenhead

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Maidenhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaidenheadLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
AFC FyldeWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MaidenheadAFC Fylde
43.5Attack53.6
51.4Defence40.6
42.0Form39.9
47.4Power45.6
1.69xG1.43
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