Mahasarakham Unitedvs
Uttaradit
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uttaradit · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mahasarakham United 2-3 Uttaradit
Original prediction
Uttaradit
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.6% | 32.0% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.7% | 29.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.7% | 38.5% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Uttaradit
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Uttaradit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.25