Mahasarakham Unitedvs
Songkhla
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mahasarakham United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mahasarakham United 1-1 Songkhla
Original prediction
Mahasarakham United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.9% | 49.5% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 25.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.6% | 24.7% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Mahasarakham United
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Mahasarakham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40