Mahasarakham Unitedvs
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mahasarakham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mahasarakham United 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Original prediction
Mahasarakham United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.0% | 36.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 27.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.1% | 35.5% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Mahasarakham United
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Mahasarakham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40