Mahasarakham Unitedvs
Muangthong United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muangthong United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mahasarakham United 0-0 Muangthong United
Original prediction
Muangthong United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.84 | 23.4% | 28.9% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.3% | 27.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.3% | 43.3% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Muangthong United
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Muangthong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20