Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Selfoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Magni are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Selfoss are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Selfoss hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the 2. Deild, while Selfoss holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Selfoss
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
6.9%
Selfoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60