Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kári · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Magni 0-2 Kári
Original prediction
Kári
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 28.1% | 16.7% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.36 | 20.7% | 14.2% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.2% | 69.1% | 17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.2–47%
Predicted outcome
Kári
Probability
69.1%
Model confidence
69.1%
Kári has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MagniLWDWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KáriWWDWD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MagniKári
56.7Attack83.3
16.7Defence51.7
41.7Form60.0
39.2Power63.4
1.71xG4.20