Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haukar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Magni are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Haukar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Haukar hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the 2. Deild, while Haukar holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haukar
Probability
78.0%
Model confidence
78.0%
Haukar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60