GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 2/21/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Magic United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gold Coast United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast United hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast United

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Gold Coast United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Magic UnitedWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gold Coast UnitedLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Magic UnitedGold Coast United
50.0Attack39.4
10.6Defence40.9
33.3Form30.3
33.3Power38.4
1.93xG1.93
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