Maghreb Fèsvs
Raja Casablanca
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola Pro · 10/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maghreb Fès · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maghreb Fès 0-0 Raja Casablanca
Original prediction
Maghreb Fès
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.6% | 38.9% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.66 | 34.0% | 30.7% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.4% | 30.4% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Maghreb Fès
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Maghreb Fès has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60