Maghreb Fèsvs
ASEC Mimosas
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Champions League · 10/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maghreb Fès · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maghreb Fès 1-1 ASEC Mimosas
Original prediction
Maghreb Fès
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.9% | 46.1% | -16.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.7% | 28.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 8.64 | 10.4% | 25.0% | 14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Maghreb Fès
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Maghreb Fès has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80