GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca B2 · 10/7/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

7 de Abril · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Mageense are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while 7 de Abril are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and 7 de Abril hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (24.5 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Carioca B2, while 7 de Abril holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

7 de Abril

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

7 de Abril has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MageenseL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
7 de AbrilLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 24 · avg 0.60/4.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Mageense7 de Abril
33.3Attack36.4
9.1Defence60.6
18.2Form30.3
24.5Power42.1
0.81xG1.63
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