Magdeburg IIvs
Greifswalder FC
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greifswalder FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Magdeburg II 4-2 Greifswalder FC
Original prediction
Greifswalder FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.4% | 27.2% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 18.6% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.5% | 54.2% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Greifswalder FC
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Greifswalder FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20