Magdeburg IIvs
Altglienicke
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 9/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altglienicke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Magdeburg II 0-1 Altglienicke
Original prediction
Altglienicke
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.51 | 25.8% | 28.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.7% | 18.6% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.5% | 53.4% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Altglienicke
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Altglienicke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20