Magallanesvs
Union San Felipe
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/5/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Magallanes · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Magallanes 0-0 Union San Felipe
Original prediction
Magallanes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.7% | 67.4% | 14.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.0% | 19.1% | -6.9 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.6% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Magallanes
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
Magallanes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60