GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 2/4/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Magallanes · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Magallanes are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Union La Calera are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.8 against 40.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Primera División, while Magallanes holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Magallanes

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Magallanes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MagallanesLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Union La CaleraWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
MagallanesUnion La Calera
40.0Attack37.0
45.6Defence44.4
32.2Form35.2
41.8Power40.8
1.43xG1.10
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