Magallanesvs
San Luis
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/17/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Luis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Magallanes 0-1 San Luis
Original prediction
San Luis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.9% | 35.7% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.7% | 25.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.4% | 39.1% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
San Luis
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
San Luis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MagallanesWWWDD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San LuisWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MagallanesSan Luis
54.3Attack51.9
51.9Defence64.2
56.8Form61.7
57.2Power60.8
1.23xG1.38