GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/24/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Magallanes are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

66.1%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MagallanesLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LDU de QuitoWDDDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MagallanesLDU de Quito
44.4Attack54.8
27.8Defence81.0
22.2Form61.9
34.0Power65.4
0.63xG2.01
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