GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 8/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Magallanes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Magallanes are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Deportes Santa Cruz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and magallanes hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 37.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the Primera B, favouring Magallanes with 9.8% confidence, a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Magallanes

Probability

61.2%

Model confidence

9.8%

Magallanes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MagallanesWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes Santa CruzDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MagallanesDeportes Santa Cruz
57.4Attack40.7
42.6Defence38.9
51.9Form24.1
53.6Power37.3
2.38xG1.21
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