Magallanesvs
D. Puerto Montt
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/13/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Magallanes · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Magallanes 2-0 D. Puerto Montt
Original prediction
Magallanes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.1% | 37.6% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 28.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.8% | 34.3% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Magallanes
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Magallanes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00