Magallanesvs
Curico Unido
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/3/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Magallanes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Magallanes 1-0 Curico Unido
Original prediction
Magallanes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.6% | 46.9% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.9% | 27.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.5% | 25.7% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Magallanes
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Magallanes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40