Magallanesvs
Cesar Vallejo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/3/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Magallanes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Magallanes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cesar Vallejo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cesar Vallejo hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 37.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Magallanes holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Magallanes
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Magallanes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40