GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/7/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Magallanes are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Botafogo are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MagallanesLDLDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BotafogoWD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
MagallanesBotafogo
44.4Attack76.2
27.8Defence47.6
22.2Form76.2
34.0Power66.3
1.28xG2.39
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