Mafra U19vs
Casa Pia U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Casa Pia U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mafra U19 0-1 Casa Pia U19
Original prediction
Casa Pia U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 35.9% | 34.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.1% | 27.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.0% | 37.7% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Casa Pia U19
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Casa Pia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40