MAFCOvs
Nyasa Big Bullets
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyasa Big Bullets · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MAFCO 0-1 Nyasa Big Bullets, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
MAFCO 0-3 Nyasa Big Bullets
Original prediction
Nyasa Big Bullets
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.03 | 17.8% | 13.1% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.5% | 29.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 54.6% | 57.5% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
MAFCO 0–1 Nyasa Big Bullets
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Nyasa Big Bullets
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Nyasa Big Bullets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00