MAFCOvs
Moyale Barracks
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 9/5/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MAFCO 0-0 Moyale Barracks, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
MAFCO 1-2 Moyale Barracks
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 36.7% | 32.3% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 31.3% | 34.8% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.0% | 32.9% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
MAFCO 0–0 Moyale Barracks
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MAFCOLDLLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Moyale BarracksDLDWD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MAFCOMoyale Barracks
26.2Attack33.3
64.3Defence61.9
31.0Form42.9
41.7Power48.5
0.63xG0.67