MAFCOvs
Karonga United
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 4/29/2023, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MAFCO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
MAFCO are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Karonga United are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and MAFCO hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Super League, while MAFCO holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MAFCO
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
MAFCO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50