Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MAFCO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
MAFCO are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Creck are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and MAFCO hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.7% in the Super League, while MAFCO holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MAFCO
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
27.7%
MAFCO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00