MAFCOvs
Chitipa United
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 5/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
MAFCO are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chitipa United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Chitipa United hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.1% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
30.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00