MadureiravsPortuguesa

Madureira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Portuguesa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.