GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca U20 · 6/22/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Madureira U20 are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fluminense U20 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense U20 hold a 46.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Carioca U20, while Fluminense U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense U20

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Fluminense U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Madureira U20LL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Fluminense U20WWWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Madureira U20Fluminense U20
16.7Attack100.0
83.3Defence83.3
33.3Form100.0
48.3Power94.8
0.99xG1.36
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