Madrid CFF Wvs
Sevilla W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madrid CFF W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Madrid CFF W 1-0 Sevilla W
Original prediction
Madrid CFF W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.6% | 50.4% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.2% | 25.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.2% | 24.5% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Madrid CFF W
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Madrid CFF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20