Madrid CFF Wvs
Deportivo Alavés W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/26/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madrid CFF W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Madrid CFF W 1-0 Deportivo Alavés W
Original prediction
Madrid CFF W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.0% | 50.0% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 24.6% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.5% | 25.4% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Madrid CFF W
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Madrid CFF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75