Madrid CFF Wvs
Athletic Club W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madrid CFF W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Madrid CFF W 2-2 Athletic Club W
Original prediction
Madrid CFF W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 29.4% | 37.5% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.5% | 25.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.1% | 36.6% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Madrid CFF W
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Madrid CFF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20