Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
7%
LowconfidenceMadla are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Vindbjart are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and madla hold a 18.6-point power-rating edge (72.0 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely result in the 3. Division - Girone 4, favouring a draw with 6.6% confidence, a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
20.2%
Model confidence
6.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MadlaDWLWL
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
VindbjartDLWWW
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MadlaVindbjart
100.0Attack74.4
0.0Defence37.2
100.0Form48.7
72.0Power53.4
2.92xG2.53