Madlavs
Staal Jørpeland
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 5-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Madla 3-1 Staal Jørpeland
Original prediction
Madla
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 74.0% | 80.0% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.85 | 15.3% | 11.1% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 8.43 | 10.7% | 8.9% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.5–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Madla
Probability
80.0%
Model confidence
80.0%
Madla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60